The effects of subsidised flood insurance on real estate markets

Staff working papers set out research in progress by our staff, with the aim of encouraging comments and debate.
Published on 30 September 2022

Staff Working Paper No. 995

By Nicola Garbarino, Benjamin Guin and Jonathan Lee

Subsidised insurance against extreme weather events improves affordability among households in at-risk areas but it can weaken the risk signal via property prices. Leveraging a granular data set of all property transactions and flood events in England, we study the effects of a reinsurance scheme which lowers insurance premiums for at-risk properties. We document that the introduction of this scheme increases prices and transaction volumes of flood-prone properties. This fully offsets the negative direct effects of flooding on property prices, with high-income areas and high-value properties benefiting relatively more. Our findings speak to the debate on climate adaptation policies and their consequences for wealth distribution.

This version was updated in October 2024.

The effects of subsidised flood insurance on real estate markets